55tg
0x45e7cb0cabf48d01fad36b7a41357c3c8751974d
- Realised P&L
- $60.94
- Volume
- $84.5k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $170.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $54.81 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $54.73 | −$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.585 | $23.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.515 | $20.60 | +$0.20 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.560 | $16.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will BNB dip to $800 in January? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.72at 0.607Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.700Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.54at 0.715Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$5.60at 0.005Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.37at 0.665Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.78 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 07-01 17:11 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $94.33 |
| 06-30 22:30 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $24.35 |
| 06-30 22:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 06-30 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 17:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |
| 05-18 17:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |
| 05-18 17:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $65.87 |
| 05-18 17:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.96 |
| 05-18 17:50 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.94 |