Mewtube
0x45d66619232de3dfe5cf54b4112234787bfd303a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $91.9k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.625 | $3.4k | +$577.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.599 | 0.952 | $1.4k | +$529.03 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No | 0.616 | 0.815 | $378.10 | +$92.10 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.865 | $346.00 | +$50.00 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No | 0.655 | 0.880 | $309.75 | +$79.28 |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.365 | $81.11 | +$41.11 |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? · Over | 0.499 | 0.080 | $29.20 | −$153.00 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.135 | $7.89 | −$20.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$479.12at 0.385U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$415.18at 0.650Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$250.84at 0.642Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
- +$196.01at 0.674Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$186.16at 0.490US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:56 | Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? | BUY | 0.4114285714 | $14.40 |
| 09-09 14:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $208.11 |
| 09-09 14:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $179.44 |
| 09-09 14:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.36 | $179.44 |
| 09-09 14:22 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $190.55 |
| 09-09 14:21 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2997272727 | $329.70 |
| 09-09 13:59 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.10100001 | $101.00 |
| 09-08 19:59 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 09-08 01:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.9k |
| 09-08 01:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.35 | $105.00 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.9k |
| 09-01 16:28 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | SELL | 0.071 | $32.21 |
| 09-01 15:52 | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | BUY | 0.0924797992 | $40.00 |
| 09-01 15:44 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | BUY | 0.440885873 | $200.00 |