0x45d51358f532ffaedf853052cd08e0ea2bb7cfbf
0x45d51358f532ffaedf853052cd08e0ea2bb7cfbf
- Realised P&L
- $5.37
- Volume
- $239.17
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.660 | $0.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.385 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.145 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.77at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$3.43at 0.308Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.28at 0.319Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.13at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 06:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:45 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |