PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45Cf46DC376eF7a8fdC5c9643156Fd349602FaAf-1772352497971

0x45cf46dc376ef7a8fdc5c9643156fd349602faaf

Realised P&L
$-27.95
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$276.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9360.805$32.22$5.22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8890.971$16.50+$1.39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8850.960$16.31+$1.27
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5000.980$11.76+$5.76
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.934$11.21+$5.21
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · No0.5000.843$10.11+$4.11
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6970.951$8.55+$2.28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · No0.8601.000$8.50+$1.19
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.984$8.36+$0.46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.982$8.34+$0.16
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9200.973$8.27+$0.45
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9100.970$8.24+$0.51
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9000.970$8.24+$0.59
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.9210.961$8.16+$0.34
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9000.956$8.12+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 03:10Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.01$0.03
03-08 08:23Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?SELL0.972$11.66
03-06 12:03Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.999$8.49
03-06 12:02Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.991$8.42
03-06 08:22Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.958$3.11
03-06 08:19Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.463$4.17
03-06 08:02Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.932$4.66
03-06 08:00Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.91$5.46
03-06 07:59GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.916$5.83
03-06 07:54Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.944$8.02
03-06 07:51Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$8.60
03-06 07:49Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.911$4.55
03-06 07:37Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.95$5.70
03-06 07:29Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.94$4.70
03-06 07:20Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.93$6.92