PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45cdbe479ae7afeff19707c941793c17ee727eb3

0x45cdbe479ae7afeff19707c941793c17ee727eb3

Realised P&L
$399.27
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$101.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.4800.475$29.69−$0.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.165$20.63+$0.63
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3700.700$18.92+$8.92
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.135$13.50+$0.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1170.123$10.56+$0.56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1930.155$8.03−$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:22Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.001$0.07
11-01 17:05Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.2$15.00
11-01 17:03Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.48$30.00
10-31 15:32Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
10-31 15:06Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.7799999938$20.00
10-31 09:24Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.4699999944$20.00
10-28 21:01Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.32$12.00
10-28 21:00Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.5299999868$12.00
10-28 21:00Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.2799999978$20.00
10-28 19:51Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28?SELL0.05$3.37
10-28 18:41Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.5985037347$20.00
10-28 18:40Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
10-28 18:37Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.609999986$20.00
10-27 20:54Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.2699999966$12.00
10-26 21:10Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7299999974$20.00