0x45cdbe479ae7afeff19707c941793c17ee727eb3
0x45cdbe479ae7afeff19707c941793c17ee727eb3
- Realised P&L
- $399.27
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $101.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $29.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.165 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.700 | $18.92 | +$8.92 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.135 | $13.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.123 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.155 | $8.03 | −$1.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.77at 0.592Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?
- +$66.80at 0.410Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$62.47at 0.250Will PSV win on 2026-10-20?
- +$55.67at 0.535Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$51.66at 0.575Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:22 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:03 | Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 15:06 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 09:24 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 21:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 21:00 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 21:00 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 19:51 | Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.37 |
| 10-28 18:41 | Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.5985037347 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 18:40 | Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 18:37 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 20:54 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 21:10 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |