PolyBot

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Traders

ChinaCartman

0x45b8135c7a58f63e0b5f9ed202548f0208321c97

Realised P&L
$-363.44
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$663.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.9250.770$582.29−$116.92
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.7900.981$68.26+$13.26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.740$12.54+$2.54
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$4.94
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass? · Yes0.5480.000$0.00−$515.43
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 16:20Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.9299999996$649.21
07-13 09:53Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-13 09:51Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.8599999986$50.00
06-15 02:34US x China tariff agreement by June 30?BUY0.9679999998$79.00
06-15 02:33Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
05-25 08:28US x China tariff agreement by May 31?BUY0.9079266927$73.00
05-05 12:34Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.9299999995$68.39
03-23 06:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.8519999999$58.24
11-25 14:27Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.4919977393$449.19
09-17 21:25Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.78$78.00
08-23 06:29Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?BUY0.15$7.59
08-23 06:29Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?BUY0.14$7.84
08-22 18:41Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?BUY0.66$100.00
08-22 08:12Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?BUY0.5999999998$500.00
08-20 20:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.7899999989$55.00