PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

suoshi

0x45b4efe626ade0c042dcb3667818bf49ab2017e2

Realised P&L
$-22.52
Volume
$39.8k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$687.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9820.986$197.10+$0.70
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9770.980$166.60+$0.52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9740.982$147.22+$1.18
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9640.983$98.30+$1.90
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9930.996$59.73+$0.15
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.945$18.89+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 04:44Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.992$99.20
04-30 01:34Magic vs. PistonsBUY0.92$9.20
03-09 03:34Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
02-12 03:24Heat vs. PelicansBUY0.997$2.63
02-12 03:22Heat vs. PelicansBUY0.99$9.90
02-09 05:41Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.75$189.45
01-30 02:39Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.99$230.30
01-30 02:39Kings vs. 76ersSELL0.99$114.52
01-30 02:35Kings vs. 76ersBUY0.98$113.37
01-26 13:33Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.981$227.42
01-07 13:26Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$303.48
01-07 13:25Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$312.74
12-24 13:56Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.997$312.06
12-23 01:19Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.962$312.65