suoshi
0x45b4efe626ade0c042dcb3667818bf49ab2017e2
- Realised P&L
- $-22.52
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $687.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.986 | $197.10 | +$0.70 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.980 | $166.60 | +$0.52 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.982 | $147.22 | +$1.18 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.964 | 0.983 | $98.30 | +$1.90 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.993 | 0.996 | $59.73 | +$0.15 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $18.89 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.80at 0.914US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.986Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$12.98at 0.992Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.550Knicks vs. Hawks
- +$9.00at 0.910Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 04:44 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 04-30 01:34 | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 03-09 03:34 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-12 03:24 | Heat vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.997 | $2.63 |
| 02-12 03:22 | Heat vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 02-09 05:41 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $189.45 |
| 01-30 02:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.99 | $230.30 |
| 01-30 02:39 | Kings vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.99 | $114.52 |
| 01-30 02:35 | Kings vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.98 | $113.37 |
| 01-26 13:33 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.981 | $227.42 |
| 01-07 13:26 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $303.48 |
| 01-07 13:25 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $312.74 |
| 12-24 13:56 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $312.06 |
| 12-23 01:19 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.962 | $312.65 |