TelAvivQuant
0x4586aaf9156a535423473672df75606d1da4c4be
- Realised P&L
- $10.7k
- Volume
- $579.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $18.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.857Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
- +$3.1kat 0.770Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$2.2kat 0.151Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$1.3kat 0.740S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
- +$1.1kat 0.834Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $245?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 17:15 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $150.29 |
| 10-17 17:19 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.86 | $997.59 |
| 10-17 17:18 | Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | SELL | 0.7203622028 | $3.3k |
| 10-16 14:41 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.772 | $0.01 |
| 10-16 14:41 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.772 | $5.98 |
| 10-16 08:14 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.238571871 | $69.33 |
| 10-16 07:09 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.3178125 | $50.85 |
| 10-16 06:40 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.4505338538 | $289.72 |
| 10-15 21:40 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.1430021668 | $263.98 |
| 10-15 17:40 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.921 | $460.50 |
| 10-15 17:39 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.0912164897 | $294.82 |
| 10-15 17:38 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.921 | $386.82 |
| 10-14 21:01 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.927 | $11.59 |
| 10-11 17:11 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.48 | $7.78 |
| 10-09 07:00 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.9 | $94.95 |