reinsouled
0x456f62f0e53283bd5c98c468d565f352602f9111
- Realised P&L
- $-7.13
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $7.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%? · No | 0.800 | 0.995 | $2.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 9? · No | 0.830 | 0.989 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.972 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Alvin Lafu Sika win the Tongatapu 2 by-election? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will St. Lucia win on 2026-10-02? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.452RNK Veres Rivne to win the second half?
- +$0.51at 0.798Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?
- +$0.30at 0.952Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- +$0.25at 0.802Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?
- +$0.20at 0.837Will St. Kitts and Nevis win on 2026-10-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 9? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 15:19 | Will Alvin Lafu Sika win the Tongatapu 2 by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.915 | $1.17 |
| 10-06 14:59 | Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.916 | $1.18 |
| 10-06 14:40 | Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 20:37 | Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 22:29 | Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 22:29 | Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 22:01 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 21:48 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7939999015 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:48 | BNB Up or Down - October 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:48 | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |