Kenbu
0x4563dd260f0e30bb411e7bc22a3fedd1c76eddd1
- Realised P&L
- $-311.35
- Volume
- $73.6k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $21.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.36at 0.242Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$29.18at 0.007Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
- +$16.27at 0.038Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
- +$15.40at 0.167Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$13.74at 0.036Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:54 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 15:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 10-26 22:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.75 |
| 10-22 17:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.0066040228 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 23:39 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.21 |
| 10-21 20:03 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 19:44 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.23 |
| 10-21 17:58 | Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 15:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 14:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 13:44 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0975124334 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 13:12 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.50 |
| 10-21 13:09 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 13:09 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |