PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x455c9361a86fcd9448951b409163fb04d2fae548

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$73.2k
Markets traded
332
Open portfolio
$23.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded332
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.2630.035$23.69$154.15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12? · No0.8400.000$0.00$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 10? · No0.8400.000$0.00$14.24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29? · No0.8700.000$0.00$14.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 13:27Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 14?BUY0.8$14.24
08-13 05:48Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 14?BUY0.95$4.75
08-13 05:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 14?BUY0.95$14.25
08-13 05:14Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 14?BUY0.8099999912$14.72
08-12 22:45Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 12?SELL0.99$14.85
08-12 10:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 13?BUY0.92$14.72
08-11 20:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?BUY0.8399999773$4.45
08-11 18:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 12?BUY0.859999994$14.24
08-11 16:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 12?BUY0.92$14.72
08-11 15:22Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?SELL0.78$15.31
08-11 15:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?SELL0.78$3.90
08-11 15:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?SELL0.78$3.90
08-11 15:18Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?SELL0.79$0.46
08-11 15:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?SELL0.79$5.96
08-11 11:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 11?BUY0.7699999841$9.20