0x452DfaEB481d70b50E448cE11A9822666435542B-1770025577022
0x452dfaeb481d70b50e448ce11a9822666435542b
- Realised P&L
- $-701.16
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $136.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $79.13 | −$20.82 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.042 | $29.64 | −$20.36 |
| Jets vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $27.40 | +$7.40 |
| Canadiens vs. Stars · Stars | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5) · UC Irvine Anteaters | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 · FUT Esports | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Capitals vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Senators vs. Kings · Senators | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5) · Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$407.61 |
| Islanders vs. Wild · Wild | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Devils vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Devils vs. Stars · Stars | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$19.50at 0.512Oilers vs. Islanders
- +$19.10at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$17.38at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$17.27at 0.542Blue Jackets vs. Flyers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:10 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 12:10 | Jets vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:55 | Flames vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:55 | Blue Jackets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:55 | Maple Leafs vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:55 | Sabres vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:54 | Lightning vs. Predators | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:54 | Oilers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 14:54 | Blackhawks vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Jets vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Devils vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:17 | Canucks vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Sabres vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Islanders vs. Wild | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |