trader-44ca33af
0x44ca33af5fbd1d9e98049b7a37ee5512cc46907c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $1.63M
- Markets traded
- 4,677
- Open portfolio
- $66.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,677
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs VP.Prodigy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · Basement Bobs | 0.000 | 0.465 | $33.13 | +$33.13 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.409 | 0.285 | $24.71 | −$10.79 |
| Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs VP.Prodigy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · VP.Prodigy | 0.000 | 0.535 | $9.07 | +$9.07 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.42 |
| Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5) · SU Esports | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.905Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$3.9kat 0.190Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$1.4kat 0.299Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.214Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$1.1kat 0.399Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 17:57 | LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $65.35 |
| 08-19 16:04 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.89 |
| 08-19 14:57 | LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.85 | $5.61 |
| 08-19 14:39 | Game Handicap: SU (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5) | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 14:26 | LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 20:07 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 19:41 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7299999457 | $2.42 |
| 08-18 14:56 | LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8946322059 | $50.00 |
| 08-18 13:41 | LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7799999966 | $9.15 |
| 08-18 13:09 | LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season | BUY | 0.8399999918 | $4.11 |
| 08-17 20:58 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D | BUY | 0.99 | $77.11 |
| 08-17 20:58 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D | BUY | 0.99 | $5.85 |
| 08-17 20:58 | Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D | BUY | 0.96 | $5.33 |
| 08-17 14:34 | Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 14:26 | LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO (BO3) - NLC Regular Season | BUY | 0.85999999 | $41.09 |