PolyBot

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Traders

0x44acfc16be68aa7e18c6678f3c37ad1bb8e68fe6

Realised P&L
$-5.57
Volume
$58.08
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$12.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7701.000$2.71+$0.62
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.635$2.11+$0.02
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.585$2.07$0.02
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3000.295$2.06$0.03
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.910$1.62+$0.23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.165$0.80$1.29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3800.115$0.63$1.46
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.7100.110$0.32$1.77
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3600.001$0.01$2.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 12:16Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.7099999389$2.09
08-04 16:07Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999153$2.09
08-04 08:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.38$2.09
08-04 00:04Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999488$2.09
08-03 16:04Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.619999911$2.09
08-03 08:00Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2999999282$2.09
08-02 21:05Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.39
08-02 07:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.429999893$2.09
08-01 22:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7699999484$2.09
08-01 13:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3599999242$2.09
08-01 04:19Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 20:18Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 12:17Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-28 21:56New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 12:22Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.37$1.11