0x44acfc16be68aa7e18c6678f3c37ad1bb8e68fe6
0x44acfc16be68aa7e18c6678f3c37ad1bb8e68fe6
- Realised P&L
- $-8.16
- Volume
- $103.11
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.922 | $3.06 | +$0.97 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.963 | $2.58 | +$0.54 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.140 | $0.79 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.21at 0.258Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.34at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$1.25at 0.629Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.639Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.770Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.369999977 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 08:26 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.7599999702 | $2.04 |
| 09-19 23:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998704 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 09:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 00:36 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999218 | $2.09 |
| 09-09 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099999124 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 09:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-07 16:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199997271 | $2.09 |
| 08-07 05:32 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5099999073 | $2.09 |
| 08-06 21:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999328 | $2.09 |
| 08-06 12:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.7699999484 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 12:16 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.7099999389 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 16:07 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 08:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 00:04 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999488 | $2.09 |