PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Avichyz

0x44996e412ad6faf8432afc08f7626e3553331604

Realised P&L
$5.20
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$10.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1000.285$2.85+$1.85
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.305$1.69$0.31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3080.360$1.17+$0.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1990.221$1.11+$0.11
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed? · Yes0.1300.125$0.96$0.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.105$0.75$0.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2670.160$0.60$0.40
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$0.56$0.44
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.2300.100$0.43$0.57
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1180.044$0.38$0.62
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$2.00
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$1.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:40Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.033$0.15
08-02 13:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.66$3.88
07-28 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL0.99$31.53
07-28 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.9399999992$25.00
07-28 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.949999962$5.00
07-23 19:03Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2669998294$1.00
07-23 19:02US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-23 19:02Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-23 19:02Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
07-23 19:01Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.6189999118$2.00
07-23 19:01Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-22 21:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.14$7.00
07-21 19:55Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1179998997$1.00
07-21 19:55Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-21 19:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1989998655$1.00