PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Navy

0x448713dc6902357e7161ae99562a6556474b9979

Realised P&L
$-0.76
Volume
$109.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.790$3.9k+$1.4k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.209$1.0k$1.4k
Megaquake by July 31? · No0.9221.000$11.93+$0.93
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30? · No0.9910.999$10.08+$0.08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by September 30? · No0.9880.986$9.97$0.03
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1100.029$0.27$0.73
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies0.6910.000$0.00$2.37
Solana above $145 on March 14? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 19:05Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30?BUY0.991035836$10.00
09-07 19:05Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by September 30?BUY0.9879999992$10.00
07-08 13:04Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.997$123.00
07-08 12:44Megaquake by July 31?BUY0.9219870818$11.00
04-10 23:20Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)BUY0.8699999913$2.98
04-10 23:189.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
04-10 23:18Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.95$2.00
04-10 23:16Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?SELL0.996$706.13
04-04 11:13Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?BUY0.7399999457$2.92
04-04 11:12Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?BUY0.997$706.69
12-10 18:23Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?BUY0.9949999682$7.99
10-05 10:29Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.991$111.00
07-02 21:04Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?BUY0.4$1.00
07-02 21:03White Sox vs. DodgersBUY0.75$1.00
03-08 12:33Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?BUY0.996$107.00