Navy
0x448713dc6902357e7161ae99562a6556474b9979
- Realised P&L
- $-0.76
- Volume
- $109.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.790 | $3.9k | +$1.4k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.209 | $1.0k | −$1.4k |
| Megaquake by July 31? · No | 0.922 | 1.000 | $11.93 | +$0.93 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30? · No | 0.991 | 0.999 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by September 30? · No | 0.988 | 0.986 | $9.97 | −$0.03 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.029 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.691 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.37 |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.28at 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
- +$9.06at 0.967Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$6.95at 0.590California vs. UNLV
- +$5.66at 0.150Will Kanye meet with Ansem by next Friday?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:05 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30? | BUY | 0.991035836 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 19:05 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by September 30? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 13:04 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $123.00 |
| 07-08 12:44 | Megaquake by July 31? | BUY | 0.9219870818 | $11.00 |
| 04-10 23:20 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.98 |
| 04-10 23:18 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 23:18 | Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 23:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | SELL | 0.996 | $706.13 |
| 04-04 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $2.92 |
| 04-04 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $706.69 |
| 12-10 18:23 | Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9949999682 | $7.99 |
| 10-05 10:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.991 | $111.00 |
| 07-02 21:04 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 21:03 | White Sox vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 12:33 | Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $107.00 |