PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RK777

0x447d6ba41261e8c2cad5e911e078953c0f7e22e1

Realised P&L
$105.19
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$57.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1300.100$8.00$2.40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0300.021$7.38$3.40
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1600.145$5.80$0.60
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.021$5.25+$0.65
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.1500.100$5.00$2.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.0780.043$4.29$3.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0900.125$3.75+$1.05
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0270.028$3.50+$0.06
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.037$3.19$0.23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1400.115$2.30$0.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.150$1.50+$0.20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0110.007$1.40$0.90
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · Yes0.2830.045$1.23$6.42
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes0.0500.058$1.16+$0.16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1000.110$1.10+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:36Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.026$3.90
08-02 14:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.033$1.02
08-02 11:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.951$4.75
08-02 11:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.13$5.20
08-02 11:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.13$5.20
08-01 11:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.32$1.60
08-01 11:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.68$3.40
08-01 11:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.34$1.70
08-01 11:00U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.997$21.93
08-01 07:12U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.995$4.97
08-01 05:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.19$4.75
08-01 05:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.2$3.00
07-31 11:20Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.09$0.32
07-31 10:02Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.102$3.06
07-31 09:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?SELL0.001$0.16