RK777
0x447d6ba41261e8c2cad5e911e078953c0f7e22e1
- Realised P&L
- $105.19
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $57.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.63at 0.003Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
- +$22.91at 0.066Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$21.06at 0.217U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$19.90at 0.167Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$17.50at 0.146Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.026 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 14:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.02 |
| 08-02 11:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.951 | $4.75 |
| 08-02 11:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 11:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-01 11:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-01 11:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 08-01 07:12 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 08-01 05:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.75 |
| 08-01 05:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 11:20 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.32 |
| 07-31 10:02 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.102 | $3.06 |
| 07-31 09:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |