FrankGrimes
0x4458e3ee8f87f9d3ce43c83891f2a2cfa9121ab8
- Realised P&L
- $80.94
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $492.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.84at 0.830Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
- +$5.88at 0.962Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$5.78at 0.524Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$4.32at 0.989Will Austria join NATO by December 31?
- +$3.25at 0.985Will BSW be part of the next German government?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:08 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999995 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 22:14 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999996 | $25.00 |
| 10-25 21:50 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9899999119 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 20:59 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.960999932 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 12:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.00 |
| 10-06 07:20 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-05 06:45 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 22:27 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.996 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 21:59 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.9669999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 21:45 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.9509999999 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 18:15 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9671624363 | $35.00 |
| 09-13 18:14 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 18:13 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 13:17 | Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $55.00 |
| 09-03 14:20 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999839 | $30.00 |