PolyBot

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Traders

yarrro

0x44549c80188ebd6bfef4b7e71927d5972a63f6bf

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$319.9k
Markets traded
613
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded613
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:57Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$17.20
09-17 21:56Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$34.40
09-17 21:38Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.966$9.66
09-17 18:37Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.926$20.84
09-16 22:39Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$34.40
09-16 22:35Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$34.20
09-16 15:29Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
09-16 15:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$16.60
09-16 15:25Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.883$8.83
09-16 08:18Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.993$9.93
09-16 08:14Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$25.80
09-15 23:04Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$86.00
09-15 23:01Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?SELL0.973$62.55
09-15 22:52Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$17.20
09-15 22:38Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$18.60