PolyBot

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Traders

yarrro

0x44549c80188ebd6bfef4b7e71927d5972a63f6bf

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$332.7k
Markets traded
652
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded652
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8540.825$189.75−$6.75
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9881.000$139.94+$1.64
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.6200.585$133.39−$8.06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4230.438$130.45+$4.42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7150.725$123.25+$1.75
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7130.715$107.25+$0.25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6850.735$95.55+$6.45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6900.645$90.50−$6.38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8680.931$89.96+$6.18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6810.725$74.10+$4.52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8940.855$68.40−$3.10
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9100.969$62.04+$3.75
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7590.695$55.60−$5.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.8600.925$55.50+$3.90
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.8600.945$47.25+$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:24Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$7.40
11-01 20:23Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$14.80
10-31 19:25Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$72.00
10-31 19:24Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$47.50
10-17 20:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$25.50
10-11 18:27Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.29$104.39
10-09 18:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.941$47.05
10-04 16:07Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$9.50
10-04 16:03Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.65$1.51
10-03 09:33Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.918$45.89
10-01 23:13Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.7$14.00
10-01 14:02Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.79$27.65
10-01 13:44Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.6$30.00
10-01 13:42Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.961$14.64
10-01 13:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.79$47.40