PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RAZE001

0x444a6d2d82423c2787028b299f475caeb91b07ad

Realised P&L
$-185.68
Volume
$227.4k
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$381.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.9610.971$126.17+$1.17
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.945$94.50+$1.50
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.5700.375$43.88$22.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.4800.795$39.75+$15.75
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.4600.395$31.60$5.20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2800.275$20.07$0.36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.2800.355$17.75+$3.75
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.4700.205$8.20$10.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$14.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$6.11
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No0.3090.000$0.00$9.27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$3.10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$37.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:30Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.28$14.00
09-18 09:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.28$20.44
09-18 09:28Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.977$14.65
09-16 13:33Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.48$24.00
09-16 13:18Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.62$73.78
09-16 13:14Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.907$9.07
09-14 10:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.68$40.12
09-12 12:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.34$170.00
09-08 08:12Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.46$36.80
09-08 08:10Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.57$66.69
09-07 07:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.2848707463$19.09
09-07 07:25Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?BUY0.6$60.00
09-07 07:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.969$48.45
09-05 09:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.95$9.50
09-04 08:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?BUY0.19$9.50