Maccin
0x4421784fd3367c64622acae87ba57292194958b2
- Realised P&L
- $88.80
- Volume
- $717.20
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $97.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.469 | 0.455 | $97.04 | −$2.96 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.64at 0.550Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
- +$-51.47at 0.422Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 20:57 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $101.11 |
| 08-12 21:26 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.17 |
| 08-12 21:24 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.4688791232 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 22:57 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 22:50 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.5399999964 | $60.00 |