PolyBot

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Traders

0x4402d077826E5199e304a498ed924a84De8FD22a-1761930618317

0x4402d077826e5199e304a498ed924a84de8fd22a

Realised P&L
$366.72
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.793$1.5k+$539.48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.206$379.57−$539.48
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9420.963$213.55+$4.60
Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.890$145.51−$9.17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$11.40
Will Santos Laguna win Liga MX? · Yes0.7950.000$0.00−$62.41
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6630.000$0.00−$74.52
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 17:53Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
09-10 17:51Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$59.69
09-10 17:45Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.95$76.00
09-10 17:45Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.949$6.36
09-10 17:45Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.948$58.41
09-10 17:45Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.947$36.76
09-10 17:45Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.941$15.55
07-29 16:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.741$150.42
07-10 22:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.21$156.61
07-02 16:22Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.53$159.00
06-25 17:46Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.35$32.20
06-22 02:28Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9$37.78
06-21 17:14Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.53$23.99
06-21 16:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.137$68.50
06-21 16:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.137$33.67