TonyWall2179
0x43d7f7f66fa06bf37ef0335b7126063562b954a7
- Realised P&L
- $-283.79
- Volume
- $257.5k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.95at 0.300Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?
- +$570.75at 0.104Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars
- +$459.51at 0.170Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
- +$449.92at 0.190Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$364.80at 0.110Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:15 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 04-27 09:23 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $558.90 |
| 04-27 09:22 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 04-27 09:21 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $69.69 |
| 04-24 05:05 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $635.49 |
| 04-13 09:42 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $256.23 |
| 04-13 09:37 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $428.71 |
| 04-13 07:23 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $548.35 |
| 04-13 06:46 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.49 | $336.14 |
| 04-13 06:01 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $256.23 |
| 04-13 04:38 | Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $19.72 |
| 04-12 15:15 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.76 | $115.52 |
| 04-12 15:11 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.75 | $192.00 |
| 04-12 00:21 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.53 | $330.72 |
| 04-12 00:20 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during NYC rally? | SELL | 0.53 | $633.88 |