0x43d72c9378f83e882f9c813d6bf3951b8516b9a9-1792771346484
0x43d72c9378f83e882f9c813d6bf3951b8516b9a9
- Realised P&L
- $138.07
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.81at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?
- +$47.94at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?
- +$38.43at 0.737Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?
- +$21.43at 0.638Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?
- +$16.24at 0.922Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.6310635359 | $18.28 |
| 11-01 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.4283333333 | $12.85 |
| 11-01 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 11-01 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 11-01 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.4866233333 | $14.60 |
| 10-31 16:57 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-31 10:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 04:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 04:30 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.413 | $7.90 |
| 10-31 04:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $80.00 |
| 10-31 03:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.966 | $33.80 |
| 10-30 17:30 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-30 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $5.00 |