PolyBot

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Traders

0x43d72c9378f83e882f9c813d6bf3951b8516b9a9-1792771346484

0x43d72c9378f83e882f9c813d6bf3951b8516b9a9

Realised P&L
$138.07
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?SELL0.6310635359$18.28
11-01 05:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.74$4.97
11-01 05:52Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.6$6.00
11-01 05:51Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?SELL0.4283333333$12.85
11-01 05:51Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.42$4.20
11-01 05:49Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?BUY0.74$5.92
11-01 04:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.4866233333$14.60
10-31 16:572026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.95$19.00
10-31 10:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999983$50.00
10-31 04:31Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.729999954$10.00
10-31 04:30Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.413$7.90
10-31 04:28Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999997$80.00
10-31 03:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.966$33.80
10-30 17:30Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 30?BUY0.74$3.70
10-30 06:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?BUY0.9789999996$5.00