UntzUntzUntzUntz
0x43cb36188b01eb6a75a17282f6d38aab81a14bcc
- Realised P&L
- $-83.1k
- Volume
- $7.08M
- Markets traded
- 1,490
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,490
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Celtics · 76ers | 0.330 | 0.335 | $1.0k | +$15.11 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET · Up | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$314.05 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET · Down | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET · Up | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET · Up | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.5kat 0.432Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
- +$20.3kat 0.092Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
- +$17.1kat 0.210Pacers vs. Thunder
- +$13.8kat 0.596Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$13.5kat 0.353Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:56 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.33 | $4.14 |
| 10-10 21:56 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.33 | $4.14 |
| 10-10 21:56 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.33 | $4.14 |
| 10-10 21:55 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.33 | $4.14 |
| 10-10 21:49 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.33 | $39.41 |
| 10-10 21:32 | 76ers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $450.00 |
| 10-10 19:02 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1615274031 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 16:27 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $250.00 |
| 10-10 00:02 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 18:26 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3299999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 18:39 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 12:42 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1058074842 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 09:06 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 09:01 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $100.00 |