Lemarto
0x43b15fcdb193f68569df8f31dac696c603764e26
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $675.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.205Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$284.38at 0.401 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$46.00at 0.555Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$40.35at 0.650NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$32.00at 0.360Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:00 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1118333333 | $33.55 |
| 09-16 13:38 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.77 | $37.74 |
| 09-15 19:03 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 09-15 16:42 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.406 | $40.60 |
| 09-15 15:45 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.0206073645 | $1.49 |
| 09-15 12:16 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 10:28 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1047208 | $10.47 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.164 | $1.64 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $52.00 |
| 09-14 13:49 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-12 17:22 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-12 17:22 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 09-12 17:22 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $66.00 |
| 09-09 13:06 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-08 13:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.30 |