PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lemarto

0x43b15fcdb193f68569df8f31dac696c603764e26

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$23.7k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$675.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.085$280.50$68.48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4490.475$166.25+$9.25
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? · Yes0.7700.970$95.99+$19.75
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.2800.745$74.51+$46.50
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1120.110$32.85$0.70
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.3600.245$24.50$11.50
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1610.165$0.82+$0.02
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.1300.001$0.07$19.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner · Lynn Vision0.1130.000$0.00$3.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$8.60
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B · BetBoom Team0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.5500.000$0.00$5.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3720.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:00Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1118333333$33.55
09-16 13:38NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.77$37.74
09-15 19:03Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.75$37.50
09-15 16:42Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.406$40.60
09-15 15:45Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.0206073645$1.49
09-15 12:16Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.18$7.20
09-15 10:28Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1047208$10.47
09-15 10:03Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.164$1.64
09-14 13:54Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$52.00
09-14 13:49Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
09-12 17:22Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.46$46.00
09-12 17:22Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.45$45.00
09-12 17:22Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.44$66.00
09-09 13:06LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.28$28.00
09-08 13:37NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.09$6.30