PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfer4de

0x43aa77a573146c77be5e76a00485a6683ed1a091

Realised P&L
$-116.92
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$181.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.725$139.42+$39.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.755$15.95+$0.95
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox0.4100.480$12.48+$1.82
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9680.984$7.11+$0.11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7080.880$6.22+$1.22
Bruins vs. Lightning · Bruins0.3800.000$0.00−$11.48
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.5700.000$0.00−$8.55
Senators vs. Utah · Senators0.4700.000$0.00−$66.00
Suns vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.3700.000$0.00−$48.00
Flames vs. Canadiens · Flames0.4200.000$0.00−$35.00
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers · San Diego Padres0.4300.000$0.00−$430.00
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins0.5100.000$0.00−$20.40
MLB All-Star Game · National League0.5500.000$0.00−$19.25
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers0.6900.000$0.00−$16.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.4600.000$0.00−$8.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:11Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesBUY0.41$10.66
09-27 05:39Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.61$14.03
09-26 05:19Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.55$18.15
09-25 07:56Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.4$9.20
09-24 08:27Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.64$11.52
09-23 10:13Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.48$8.04
09-23 09:57Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.58$12.76
09-22 10:53Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-21 06:11Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.64$9.60
09-19 07:01Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsBUY0.47$7.05
09-19 07:01Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.45$3.66
09-18 07:18Athletics vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.65$18.19
09-17 07:17Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.39$3.12
09-15 08:23Bengals vs. TexansBUY0.6$13.80
09-14 06:16Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.42$9.24