PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

runa07901

0x438e396b3835f2e16ed76b139201cc473fe467c7

Realised P&L
$486.84
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$149.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9770.973$66.03$0.31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9890.983$41.00$0.27
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9630.959$36.26$0.15
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No0.9560.939$5.82$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 07:23Hurricanes vs. CapitalsBUY0.61$750.30