PolyBot

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Traders

0x438a9b2ddde894595df604333d3a53c2ba8dfd91

0x438a9b2ddde894595df604333d3a53c2ba8dfd91

Realised P&L
$2.22
Volume
$116.16
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$3.09

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.3400.465$1.37+$0.37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3700.360$0.97$0.03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.3200.160$0.60$0.60
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.037$0.10$0.90
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.3700.016$0.04$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 22:26Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-21 14:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-21 06:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-20 21:40Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-19 06:34Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-18 02:41SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-17 04:56Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-16 20:41Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-16 11:31Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-16 03:30Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-14 07:07Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-13 23:06Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-11 23:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-11 04:52SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-10 18:45Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.749999625$1.00