PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

greendumper

0x437b91c5863bec6586af33dcabb640c58f200ba4

Realised P&L
$8.7k
Volume
$451.2k
Markets traded
762
Open portfolio
$339.36

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded762
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9220.973$114.20+$5.88
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5100.855$69.73+$28.14
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027? · No0.9100.955$53.68+$2.53
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1600.065$45.39−$66.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8180.968$19.35+$3.00
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · No0.9730.977$10.31+$0.04
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.3300.115$10.04−$18.77
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.2490.076$7.98−$18.22
Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.3270.115$7.80−$14.38
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0890.006$0.84−$11.60
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0440.001$0.05−$4.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$669.97
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$129.98
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$22.72
Spread: Monmouth (-34.5) · Monmouth0.9600.000$0.00−$12.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 13:23Villanova vs. Bucknell: O/U 69.5BUY0.9$135.00
09-05 13:23Villanova vs. Bucknell: O/U 73.5BUY0.92$138.00
09-05 13:23Villanova vs. Bucknell: O/U 75.5BUY0.98$13.38
09-05 13:23Villanova vs. Bucknell: O/U 77.5BUY0.96$157.75
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-20.5)BUY0.92$14.72
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-21.5)BUY0.92$14.72
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-24.5)BUY0.92$14.72
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-27.5)BUY0.87$13.05
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-31.5)BUY0.93$83.70
09-05 13:21Spread: Monmouth (-34.5)BUY0.96$12.59
09-05 13:20Holy Cross vs. Colgate: O/U 46.5BUY0.5283333333$50.72
09-05 13:20Lehigh vs. Georgetown: O/U 49.5BUY0.51$123.86
09-05 13:20Spread: New Haven (-7.5)BUY0.54$43.20
07-12 03:36UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.72$29.52
07-12 03:28UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.72$3.60