0x434feb2577890fe100c5a55476126c0f865e436f
0x434feb2577890fe100c5a55476126c0f865e436f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 576
- Open portfolio
- $378.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded576
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.02at 0.500Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 20, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.510Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?
- +$2.80at 0.570Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?
- +$1.94at 0.558Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.460Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:38 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.14 |
| 10-10 23:27 | Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-10 21:51 | Will SMU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.94 |
| 10-10 20:34 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-10 19:31 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.666 | $13.32 |
| 10-10 19:00 | Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-10 13:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-10 12:13 | Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.03 |
| 10-10 07:24 | Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.28 |
| 10-10 04:37 | Will Penn State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.73 |
| 10-10 02:30 | Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.77 |
| 10-09 22:41 | Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.7752631579 | $14.73 |
| 10-09 22:00 | Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.322 | $0.76 |
| 10-09 17:26 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-09 16:51 | Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |