PolyBot

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Traders

0x434feb2577890fe100c5a55476126c0f865e436f

0x434feb2577890fe100c5a55476126c0f865e436f

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$27.7k
Markets traded
576
Open portfolio
$378.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded576
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? · No0.7500.615$12.30−$2.70
Will Jordan Love have 3,799.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6400.600$12.00−$0.80
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.6300.565$11.30−$1.30
Will Baltimore Ravens advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.6700.565$11.30−$2.10
Will the New York Rangers record 90+ points? · No0.6700.565$11.30−$2.10
Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? · No0.7600.560$11.20−$4.00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? · No0.6700.540$10.80−$2.60
Will Mark Scheifele record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.6800.540$10.80−$2.80
Will Garrett Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6400.525$10.50−$2.30
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.6350.514$10.29−$2.41
Will Monaco finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase? · No0.8000.505$10.10−$5.90
Will Derrick Henry have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5600.505$10.10−$1.10
Will Tage Thompson record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.7300.500$10.00−$4.60
Will George Kittle have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6500.500$10.00−$3.00
Will Shifters make a roster change by December? · No0.5100.498$9.96−$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 00:38Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.14
10-10 23:27Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.63$12.60
10-10 21:51Will SMU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.45$1.94
10-10 20:34Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.56$11.20
10-10 19:31Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.666$13.32
10-10 19:00Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.67$6.70
10-10 13:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%?SELL0.6$12.00
10-10 12:13Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?SELL0.67$6.03
10-10 07:24Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan?SELL0.6$4.28
10-10 04:37Will Penn State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.33$0.73
10-10 02:30Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?SELL0.57$1.77
10-09 22:41Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 23, 2026?SELL0.7752631579$14.73
10-09 22:00Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.322$0.76
10-09 17:26Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?SELL0.68$13.60
10-09 16:51Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?SELL0.75$3.75