PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6

0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6

Realised P&L
$-61.13
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
630
Open portfolio
$244.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded630
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.986$22.53−$0.31
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$22.51−$0.33
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.979$22.38−$0.46
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.976$22.31−$0.53
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.954$21.81−$1.03
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · No0.9870.988$21.40+$0.01
Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9980.998$21.28−$0.01
Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno? · No0.9870.988$21.27+$0.01
Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9990.998$21.26−$0.03
Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? · No0.9990.991$21.12−$0.17
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.893$20.42−$2.42
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.254$5.80−$17.04
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET · Down0.6050.000$0.00−$21.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$24.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4? · Yes0.9970.000$0.00−$24.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:56BNB Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ETBUY0.999$0.75
10-20 09:57XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ETBUY0.99$21.33
10-20 08:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ETBUY0.999$21.32
10-20 06:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ETBUY0.9895351534$21.33
10-19 03:58Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.9874547994$21.39
10-18 07:59Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ETBUY0.999$2.07
10-17 23:58Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?BUY0.998$21.38
10-17 03:56Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?BUY0.997$21.45
10-16 19:58Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.999$21.45
10-16 12:59HYPE Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ETBUY0.999$5.95
10-16 06:56Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ETBUY0.999$21.43
10-15 23:58Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?BUY0.997$21.42
10-15 08:57XRP Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ETBUY0.9975358121$21.49
10-15 08:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ETBUY0.9982428114$21.49
10-14 23:57Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?BUY0.999$10.53
Trader 0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6 · PolyBot Pro