0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6
0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6
- Realised P&L
- $-61.13
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 630
- Open portfolio
- $244.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded630
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.56at 0.428Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$11.22at 0.652Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$9.68at 0.388Solana Up or Down - September 17, 12AM ET
- +$7.67at 0.770XRP Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET
- +$5.94at 0.680XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:56 | BNB Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $0.75 |
| 10-20 09:57 | XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $21.33 |
| 10-20 08:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $21.32 |
| 10-20 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.9895351534 | $21.33 |
| 10-19 03:58 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.9874547994 | $21.39 |
| 10-18 07:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $2.07 |
| 10-17 23:58 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.38 |
| 10-17 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.45 |
| 10-16 19:58 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.45 |
| 10-16 12:59 | HYPE Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.95 |
| 10-16 06:56 | Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $21.43 |
| 10-15 23:58 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.42 |
| 10-15 08:57 | XRP Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.9975358121 | $21.49 |
| 10-15 08:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.9982428114 | $21.49 |
| 10-14 23:57 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.53 |