EAB...
0x434845621a31706fbce1aa7fd641085046f3bb70
- Realised P&L
- $6.48
- Volume
- $409.92
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.36at 0.298Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.475Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?
- +$2.09at 0.278Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.01at 0.116Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.500Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:09 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999995 | $2.57 |
| 09-13 01:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.75 |
| 09-12 01:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999847 | $4.55 |
| 09-12 01:03 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-11 17:58 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.71 |
| 09-11 15:33 | Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6? | BUY | 0.5619999853 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 11:36 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 11:36 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 09-10 11:33 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.10 |
| 09-10 11:28 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.89 |
| 09-10 10:59 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999311 | $1.87 |
| 09-10 10:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:47 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:03 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0144927536 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:59 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |