wobajack
0x433a7562c0985f994ca444140dc8891a0ef871e7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $505.0k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $655.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.441Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
- +$1.6kat 0.488Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$1.2kat 0.373Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$960.70at 0.820Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
- +$813.80at 0.632Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 00:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $49.99 |
| 04-11 13:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 04-11 13:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.75 | $78.05 |
| 04-08 15:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.025 | $9.98 |
| 04-08 14:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 04-08 14:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.68 | $47.60 |
| 04-07 22:57 | Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $41.60 |
| 04-07 22:56 | Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | BUY | 0.6592146178 | $131.86 |
| 04-03 20:20 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $857.00 |
| 03-24 15:04 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 03-20 17:16 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 03-19 03:52 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $4.60 |
| 03-18 21:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 03-18 21:47 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $28.00 |
| 03-18 20:10 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $7.18 |