PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wobajack

0x433a7562c0985f994ca444140dc8891a0ef871e7

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$505.0k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$655.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3300.195$525.91$363.09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes0.1300.135$123.45+$4.12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.022$6.60$29.40
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.4640.000$0.00$259.34
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$25.00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$4.60
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$9.98
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.2000.000$0.00$60.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$16.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$21.00
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 00:08Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.1$49.99
04-11 13:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.75$37.50
04-11 13:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.75$78.05
04-08 15:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.025$9.98
04-08 14:51US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.995$199.00
04-08 14:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.68$47.60
04-07 22:57Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?BUY0.64$41.60
04-07 22:56Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?BUY0.6592146178$131.86
04-03 20:20Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.33$857.00
03-24 15:04Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.36$36.00
03-20 17:16Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.37$37.00
03-19 03:52Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.023$4.60
03-18 21:51US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.06$24.00
03-18 21:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.07$28.00
03-18 20:10U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?BUY0.67$7.18