catman777
0x433868fc8758dae28a4d57132475124c8bbb5d83
- Realised P&L
- $-113.10
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $111.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.92at 0.454Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$25.02at 0.669Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$19.87at 0.748Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$17.76at 0.800Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
- +$15.59at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:05 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-02 15:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-28 08:10 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.58 |
| 09-28 08:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $29.46 |
| 09-28 07:31 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $29.26 |
| 09-28 07:30 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $30.03 |
| 09-28 07:29 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $30.77 |
| 09-28 07:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $34.12 |
| 09-28 07:28 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $39.83 |
| 09-28 07:28 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $31.63 |
| 08-14 10:43 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.93 |
| 08-14 07:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999921 | $21.74 |
| 08-11 23:33 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.05 |
| 08-11 03:33 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.5759999686 | $17.89 |
| 08-11 02:45 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.7299999952 | $27.25 |