xukong-039
0x43374fcbb21681882d9c2557d54152b7b1888497
- Realised P&L
- $-18.40
- Volume
- $246.49
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $55.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.46at 0.670Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$0.38at 0.930Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
- +$0.30at 0.944Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.950Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 18:48 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 03-05 18:46 | Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0466564136 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 16:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:27 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999994 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:13 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:13 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:07 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 15:06 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 14:59 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.1968503937 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 14:57 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 09:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999985 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 09:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 03-05 09:47 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |