Kkin24
0x431ce8ae9e9de345baab822b72609c0829b079fd
- Realised P&L
- $46.89
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $196.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.838 | 0.605 | $180.57 | −$69.43 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.655 | 0.255 | $15.56 | −$24.44 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.96 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? · No | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.87at 0.440Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$-15.25at 0.014Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:21 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6555819451 | $40.00 |
| 09-30 21:19 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.77 |
| 09-30 21:01 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8376034682 | $250.00 |
| 09-30 21:01 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.013861393 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 21:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9600245715 | $312.56 |
| 09-27 01:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8099999982 | $54.96 |
| 09-05 14:57 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999987 | $140.00 |
| 09-04 18:55 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.208126842 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 23:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1119940787 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 23:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6209999914 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 15:18 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297743107 | $10.00 |