PolyBot

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Traders

Joebidenswife

0x42e1073faada3b581c3cfce5e725628ad601a1d2

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$116.4k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$214.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2410.075$169.14−$375.15
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.2100.475$45.24+$25.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:00Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$96.20
07-25 08:33Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
07-06 10:32Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$89.00
07-06 10:31Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2$80.00
07-04 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00
07-04 07:27Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.21$42.00
07-01 14:12Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.25$100.00
07-01 07:29Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.961$144.15
06-26 09:07Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.26$80.60
06-26 09:06Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?SELL0.1452086444$65.34
06-25 06:48Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.11$49.50
06-25 06:48Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?BUY0.87$261.00
06-17 09:07Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.59$88.50
05-10 12:41Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
05-08 17:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.31$394.14