K00ldr4g0n
0x42b53f1fa44a03de5f9cb8586fa13ef5ac1cb5b6
- Realised P&L
- $136.3k
- Volume
- $5.63M
- Markets traded
- 3,150
- Open portfolio
- $149.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,150
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.614 | 0.145 | $72.50 | −$234.50 |
| Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.550 | $30.97 | +$0.56 |
| Rangers vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.220 | 0.235 | $21.36 | +$1.36 |
| Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.530 | $20.96 | −$0.40 |
| Panthers vs. Sharks · Panthers | 0.540 | 0.555 | $3.82 | +$0.10 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.47 |
| Will Spain win the World Cup? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.8kat 0.140Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$5.8kat 0.412Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
- +$5.7kat 0.457Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$5.7kat 0.192Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.6kat 0.237Bulls vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 23:10 | Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0495199394 | $0.98 |
| 07-08 00:55 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.46 | $321.39 |
| 07-08 00:06 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0774736842 | $80.96 |
| 07-07 23:45 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.073 | $29.20 |
| 07-07 23:44 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.072 | $3.60 |
| 07-07 23:44 | Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.87 |
| 07-07 19:02 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $45.00 |
| 07-07 02:54 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $33.15 |
| 07-06 15:05 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.89 | $421.27 |
| 07-06 14:37 | Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.26 |
| 07-06 13:03 | Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.9k |
| 07-04 00:42 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 07-04 00:42 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5957608603 | $913.50 |
| 07-03 01:06 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 07-03 01:06 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |