PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

K00ldr4g0n

0x42b53f1fa44a03de5f9cb8586fa13ef5ac1cb5b6

Realised P&L
$136.3k
Volume
$5.63M
Markets traded
3,150
Open portfolio
$149.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,150
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.6140.145$72.50−$234.50
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 · Under0.5400.550$30.97+$0.56
Rangers vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5 · Under0.2200.235$21.36+$1.36
Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 · Over0.5400.530$20.96−$0.40
Panthers vs. Sharks · Panthers0.5400.555$3.82+$0.10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$3.7k
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · No0.8350.000$0.00−$105.47
Will Spain win the World Cup? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$5.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 23:10Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.0495199394$0.98
07-08 00:55Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.46$321.39
07-08 00:06Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0774736842$80.96
07-07 23:45Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.073$29.20
07-07 23:44Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.072$3.60
07-07 23:44Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.07$5.87
07-07 19:02Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$45.00
07-07 02:54Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$33.15
07-06 15:05Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.89$421.27
07-06 14:37Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.028$1.26
07-06 13:03Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.83$1.9k
07-04 00:42Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.59$295.00
07-04 00:42Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5957608603$913.50
07-03 01:06Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$19.50
07-03 01:06Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$19.50