PolyBot

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Traders

0x427ce11be5c94c19a86bbc6f53dc7527f85c4e1b

0x427ce11be5c94c19a86bbc6f53dc7527f85c4e1b

Realised P&L
$-112.08
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$3.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2800.355$1.27+$0.27
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? · Yes0.7800.875$1.12+$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7200.705$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:20Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-02 07:00Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?BUY0.78$1.00
10-01 10:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-27 12:52Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-27 02:57Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-26 18:39Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-26 10:28Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-26 02:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-24 17:37Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.7039998536$1.00
09-23 05:30Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.6299998362$2.00
09-19 06:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-18 22:09Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7299997409$2.00
09-18 12:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-17 12:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-17 03:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00