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0x426426e32807890190c4D7D1610503bEC962F8bf-1779439844106

0x426426e32807890190c4d7d1610503bec962f8bf

Realised P&L
$-624.60
Volume
$134.3k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$100.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.2400.220$43.12$3.92
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2000.140$28.00$12.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2850.277$13.82$0.42
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.5000.455$9.10$0.90
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.2000.105$2.10$1.90
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.1500.085$1.70$1.30
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.018$0.90$3.60
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee? · No0.1100.002$0.40$21.60
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$60.76
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$25.00
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$4.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:10Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.01$0.77
08-04 08:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.02$0.10
08-04 03:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.2$2.72
08-04 01:01Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6363$31.81
08-03 01:37Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.18$4.05
08-03 01:36Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.09$1.80
08-03 00:27Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.16$8.00
08-02 15:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$87.83
08-02 15:09Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.307$15.35
08-02 00:55Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?SELL0.35$45.43
08-02 00:55Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?SELL0.35$24.57
08-01 01:05Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.53$10.60
08-01 01:02Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?SELL0.76$38.00
08-01 00:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.34$67.49
08-01 00:53Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3014998$15.07