0x426426e32807890190c4D7D1610503bEC962F8bf-1779439844106
0x426426e32807890190c4d7d1610503bec962f8bf
- Realised P&L
- $-624.60
- Volume
- $134.3k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $100.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.03at 0.399Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?
- +$12.50at 0.250US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$9.81at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 30?
- +$9.08at 0.910Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?
- +$8.49at 0.907Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.77 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.72 |
| 08-04 01:01 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6363 | $31.81 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.05 |
| 08-03 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 15:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $87.83 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.307 | $15.35 |
| 08-02 00:55 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.35 | $45.43 |
| 08-02 00:55 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.35 | $24.57 |
| 08-01 01:05 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 08-01 01:02 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 08-01 00:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.34 | $67.49 |
| 08-01 00:53 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3014998 | $15.07 |