0x426426e32807890190c4D7D1610503bEC962F8bf-1779439844106
0x426426e32807890190c4d7d1610503bec962f8bf
- Realised P&L
- $-761.78
- Volume
- $194.0k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $684.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$401.65at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?
- +$193.58at 0.025US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$29.43at 0.411Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?
- +$13.56at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?
- +$12.66at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.89 | $29.10 |
| 09-21 00:29 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.38 |
| 09-21 00:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0163915 | $3.28 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $40.50 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.76 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.84 | $121.64 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9398165138 | $256.10 |
| 09-21 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.93 | $39.06 |
| 09-21 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-20 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.993 | $383.18 |
| 09-20 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $403.97 |
| 09-20 03:51 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.189 | $17.16 |
| 09-20 03:42 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.189 | $7.56 |
| 09-20 03:42 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1888888889 | $17.00 |