Aerodiavolo
0x425d6966af479815cfc6e2c69dc0443a076cba78
- Realised P&L
- $-22.8k
- Volume
- $628.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,327
- Open portfolio
- $306.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) · San Francisco Giants | 0.510 | 0.470 | $133.63 | −$11.37 |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · magic | 0.423 | 0.900 | $32.94 | +$17.46 |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · GamerLegion | 0.335 | 0.100 | $13.42 | −$31.58 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.060 | 0.070 | $8.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$583.20at 0.328Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
- +$184.97at 0.310Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
- +$150.35at 0.549Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
- +$137.02at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$136.75at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:04 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999991 | $145.00 |
| 09-26 21:02 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3572373634 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 20:59 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2987333705 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 20:57 | Dota 2: Rostik Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | SELL | 0.3791238003 | $210.94 |
| 09-26 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 20:52 | Dota 2: Rostik Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | BUY | 0.5212232126 | $290.00 |
| 09-26 20:49 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4474500566 | $600.00 |
| 09-26 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0385728062 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.9649855979 | $50.92 |
| 09-26 20:45 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3787939663 | $26.54 |
| 09-26 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 20:44 | Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2967568705 | $70.00 |
| 09-26 20:41 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.0599999998 | $7.00 |