0x422fFcE78BA5F1f5783e8495d12867bE49c46b1d-1772931101162
0x422ffce78ba5f1f5783e8495d12867be49c46b1d
- Realised P&L
- $97.59
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $331.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.50at 0.460US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
- +$45.66at 0.687Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$37.35at 0.816Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?
- +$27.90at 0.620US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$24.74at 0.853Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5561072448 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 18:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.8951554187 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 16:50 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:40 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.779026216 | $80.00 |
| 09-07 09:36 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7563423276 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 09:18 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 09-04 11:25 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.0067362748 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1789999763 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 10:47 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 04:48 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.377 | $9.68 |
| 08-28 14:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 12:01 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.7523973792 | $364.02 |
| 08-24 12:19 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.3894547407 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 12:17 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.1455075909 | $10.00 |