0x4229874d57be7adcd907c037cb098b47a08a919a
0x4229874d57be7adcd907c037cb098b47a08a919a
- Realised P&L
- $1.75
- Volume
- $105.31
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.545 | $2.60 | +$1.55 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.979 | $1.69 | +$0.64 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.925 | $1.41 | +$0.36 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.915 | $1.33 | +$0.28 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.875 | $1.24 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.12at 0.258Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.288Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.76at 0.379Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.379Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.430Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999726 | $1.05 |
| 09-20 21:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998554 | $1.05 |
| 09-20 21:36 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999665 | $1.05 |
| 09-20 03:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999577 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 04:55 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998141 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 10:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 02:30 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799999109 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 17:35 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.439999933 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 09:22 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.759999971 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 22:28 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999933 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.769999868 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 14:15 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997752 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 06:14 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999726 | $1.05 |
| 09-13 22:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999058 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 06:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8099995603 | $1.05 |