PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4229874d57be7adcd907c037cb098b47a08a919a

0x4229874d57be7adcd907c037cb098b47a08a919a

Realised P&L
$1.75
Volume
$105.31
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.2200.545$2.60+$1.55
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.6100.979$1.69+$0.64
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.6900.925$1.41+$0.36
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.7200.915$1.33+$0.28
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes0.7400.875$1.24+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 18:38Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7199999726$1.05
09-20 21:48Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6899998554$1.05
09-20 21:36Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2199999665$1.05
09-20 03:53Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.7399999577$1.05
09-19 04:55Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6099998141$1.05
09-16 10:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.8$1.05
09-16 02:30Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799999109$1.05
09-15 17:35Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.439999933$1.05
09-15 09:22Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.759999971$1.05
09-14 22:28Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.439999933$1.05
09-14 22:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.769999868$1.05
09-14 14:15Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5899997752$1.05
09-14 06:14Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999726$1.05
09-13 22:12Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4299999058$1.05
09-11 06:22Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.8099995603$1.05