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0x4220de3031f08f16fcbb5137a592f5eff34d655b
- Realised P&L
- $-134.44
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $11.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva · Viktorija Golubic | 0.500 | 0.495 | $8.08 | −$0.08 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.737 | 0.834 | $2.48 | +$0.29 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.048 | $1.05 | −$5.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.02at 0.492Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- +$28.74at 0.174Lexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski
- +$25.11at 0.276Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
- +$14.19at 0.517England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
- +$6.29at 0.761US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:19 | China Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Alina Korneeva | BUY | 0.5 | $8.16 |
| 09-29 08:24 | Set Handicap: Petra Marcinko (-1.5) vs Magdalena Frech (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 22:16 | Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.4199998518 | $1.36 |
| 08-12 21:41 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.13 | $4.81 |
| 08-12 19:34 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 19:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4399998363 | $1.29 |
| 08-12 13:33 | GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8499999786 | $3.98 |
| 08-12 11:32 | GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8499999422 | $1.47 |
| 08-12 01:16 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.48 | $12.45 |
| 08-12 01:08 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 01:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5099999722 | $2.57 |
| 08-11 01:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.509999996 | $9.00 |
| 08-10 20:22 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4099999056 | $1.26 |
| 08-09 19:28 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4699999696 | $5.11 |
| 08-09 17:03 | Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.21 |