PolyBot

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Traders

0x41E8266341517750bec28829015b5289FE00b994-1766188710954

0x41e8266341517750bec28829015b5289fe00b994

Realised P&L
$27.7k
Volume
$765.9k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$36.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.855$20.5k+$1.8k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8370.815$8.4k$227.59
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.785$4.9k$405.21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7400.905$2.0k+$368.01
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes0.8030.982$102.16+$18.57
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7120.920$50.08+$11.32
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22? · Yes0.9290.992$41.63+$2.60
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.8800.890$12.71+$0.14
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B · FURIA0.5160.000$0.00$228.00
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · Vitality0.9270.000$0.00$5.5k
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · M800.3550.000$0.00$67.89
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$499.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner · 9z0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.1700.000$0.00$32.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 20:53NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.3k
09-20 20:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.995$3.0k
09-20 20:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?SELL0.996$19.92
09-20 20:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.91$821.73
09-20 20:05US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.88$12.57
09-20 20:04US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.93$13.28
09-20 20:04US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.93$13.28
09-20 20:04US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?BUY0.94$18.79
09-20 20:03US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?BUY0.92$20.24
09-20 20:03US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.89$8.09
09-20 20:02US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.89$8.09
09-20 20:02US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.82$16.40
09-20 20:02US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.8$16.00
09-20 20:01US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.56$17.40
09-20 20:00US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.76$15.20