0x41D7a778a8831B5B3aa3DbdDEaDF8d4C78FfAb14-1768482656349
0x41d7a778a8831b5b3aa3dbddeadf8d4c78ffab14
- Realised P&L
- $-147.63
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $19.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.26at 0.754Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.31at 0.904Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
- +$5.03at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:53 | Will BNB reach $1,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9404388715 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $29.35 |
| 09-19 10:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.01 |
| 09-14 07:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.59 |
| 09-13 01:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999964 | $14.75 |
| 09-05 00:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 01:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.740999987 | $49.07 |
| 08-17 06:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $105.00 |
| 08-17 06:50 | Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.06 |
| 07-12 01:23 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.41 | $135.10 |
| 07-12 01:23 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.42 | $67.82 |
| 07-12 01:22 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 07-03 09:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.952 | $94.90 |
| 06-11 12:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 11:31 | Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.00 |