PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x41D7a778a8831B5B3aa3DbdDEaDF8d4C78FfAb14-1768482656349

0x41d7a778a8831b5b3aa3dbddeadf8d4c78ffab14

Realised P&L
$-147.63
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$19.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BNB reach $1,000 in October? · No0.9400.945$15.07+$0.07
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · No0.9070.949$1.05+$0.05
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.7100.705$0.99−$0.01
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9920.934$0.94−$0.06
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9850.926$0.94−$0.06
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8800.240$0.27−$0.73
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 · Trace Esports0.0100.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$29.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21? · No0.8370.000$0.00−$5.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0010.000$0.00−$0.25
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1 · VARREL0.0010.000$0.00−$0.40
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9510.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:53Will BNB reach $1,000 in October?BUY0.9404388715$15.00
09-19 10:02Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5499999934$29.35
09-19 10:02Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?SELL0.5$11.01
09-14 07:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$20.59
09-13 01:02Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.6699999964$14.75
09-05 00:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
08-28 01:24Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.740999987$49.07
08-17 06:50Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.92$105.00
08-17 06:50Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.84$1.06
07-12 01:23Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5SELL0.41$135.10
07-12 01:23Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5SELL0.42$67.82
07-12 01:22Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5SELL0.43$4.30
07-03 09:15Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.952$94.90
06-11 12:14Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
05-18 11:31Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.93$1.00