b159cd071b88
0x41b4f5ea28417c7cc1ec1adc4279300c43edb739
- Realised P&L
- $-900.32
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $65.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.44at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$44.20at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$44.03at 0.919Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$41.09at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$26.46at 0.570Trump renames AI by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $12.88 |
| 10-13 12:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0761179829 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 12:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.82 |
| 10-13 12:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1453403872 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9451898703 | $19.65 |
| 10-03 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.939999971 | $19.45 |
| 10-03 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999965 | $19.45 |
| 10-03 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $19.45 |
| 10-03 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $19.45 |
| 10-03 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $9.72 |
| 10-03 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $9.82 |
| 10-03 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999924 | $9.82 |
| 10-03 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $9.72 |
| 10-03 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999936 | $9.72 |
| 10-03 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $9.82 |