breathe8294
0x41ac0aa7a71c62c1872dc1122c16bdcf205f8e25
- Realised P&L
- $-161.41
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $99.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.07at 0.182Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$10.63at 0.220MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$7.67at 0.175Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$2.52at 0.131Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.47at 0.006Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:34 | Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $66.55 |
| 09-20 15:48 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.083 | $0.42 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:14 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.17 | $20.06 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.27 | $86.40 |
| 08-29 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 15:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 15:53 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $6.00 |
| 04-06 14:58 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 06:41 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 03-20 19:34 | Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | SELL | 0.004 | $0.94 |
| 12-30 14:38 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 12-30 06:29 | Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | SELL | 0.942 | $9.42 |
| 12-20 08:51 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $28.52 |