jy115
0x41a3f14737b0a916d0c340993e536a22563b46b8
- Realised P&L
- $152.94
- Volume
- $46.8k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $772.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.30at 0.031Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
- +$82.37at 0.331Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$74.99at 0.154Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- +$62.59at 0.224Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$38.74at 0.375Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:22 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.15 |
| 09-23 03:19 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3006349206 | $94.70 |
| 09-23 02:41 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.2498309179 | $25.86 |
| 09-23 02:39 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.32 | $67.94 |
| 09-23 02:35 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.32 | $71.25 |
| 09-19 15:39 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2187290195 | $69.01 |
| 09-18 02:51 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.11 |
| 09-18 02:51 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.10 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.17 | $21.42 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.21 | $16.38 |
| 09-14 17:01 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.083 | $0.42 |
| 09-14 17:00 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.083 | $8.05 |
| 09-13 01:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1824975502 | $58.10 |
| 09-12 02:01 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-11 19:06 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.1766666667 | $10.60 |